Lancaster PA Real Estate Blog

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Folks, this could be a BAD week for Mortgages

I was at an agent's breakfast sponsored by my firm, Long & Foster Real Estate this morning down in Maryland. A corporate exec showed me this article he had printed off from the Washington Post.  In fact, there are articles all over the web in the mortgage world, some of which I've linked below.

Folks, things are about to get ugly.  With the overnight demise of American Home Mortgage, who filed this morning for bankruptcy, an industry-wide pullback has been initiated.  With the rapidly-declining market for mortgage-backed securities tied to subprime and Alt-A loans, top lenders are revising policies and raising rates.  Apparently some high-level meetings are happening this morning west-coast time which will affect big lenders like Countrywide and National City.  Some observations from an industry insider who commented this morning:

  1. Jumbo loan (over $417,000 in Lancaster) rates are going up 5/8 of a point within a week, across the board.
  2. 100% financing programs are going away.  If your mortgage broker says they can do one after a few more weeks, don't believe it.
  3. Stated Income programs are going away.  Risk reduction is the new buzzword.
  4. Stand-alone second mortgages are going away.  "80/20" arrangements...More risk reduction.

Our advice at this morning's meeting was to get any and all mortgage rate commitments in writing, verifying the actual lender if you are working with a broker.  If you are on the fence about buying, don't wait!  Everything is going to get much harder in the weeks and months to come.  For realtors, time to pull out the contact list and get calling.  Your clients will thank you later (especially if their loan is likely to be a jumbo one).  You can contact our Lancaster mortgage expert Dan McCormac for more info, too.

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For Lancaster PA homes for sale click here.  Jeff Geoghan is a top real estate expert in Lancaster County, PA, and  an involved community member.  Jeff's work has been featured in the Lancaster Newspapers, WGAL Channel 8, PA Business Journal and Wall Street Journal.  Jeff's blog on Lancaster County and its homes is nationally-featured.  Contact Jeff for more help with your Lancaster PA Real Estate needs. 

Jeff R. Geoghan, Long & Foster Real Estate  

 

 

 

Comments

Jeff, This is a fantastic post. I flagged and fived it.
Posted by Camarillo CA Real Estate Agent/ Mana Tulberg (805 County Real Estate) almost 5 years ago
I hope things will stabilize soon.  The unknown is scary to those with the money.
Posted by Randy L. Prothero - Hawaii REALTORĀ® (808) 384-5645 (Century 21 Liberty Homes ) almost 5 years ago

Jeff~

It's good to be aware of the twists and turns on the road...and this post sure is appreciated.

Posted by Asheville NC Properties of Enduring Excellence almost 5 years ago

Jeff - Good post with timely information. Keep in mind as Shailesh pointed out - even in writing things can change over night in this lending environment. Best bet is to have a good broker who will advise and be on the lookout for the best program! 

Posted by Mary Bigelow, 2010 Let's Do It AGAIN!!!! (Contractors Building Supply) almost 5 years ago

Jeff:

With respect to the 'expert", 100% programs are being expanded.  Freddie sent a message out to all the major conforming lenders that it's product is available, liquid, and promotable.

Stand alon seconds aren't going anywhere.  The HELOC product is too successful.  CLTVs may be cut a tad but it won't disappear.

 

Remember, lenders lend.  When they cease to lend, they cease being lenders.  This too shall pass. 

Posted by Jumbo Mortgage Capital in California/858-777-9751 almost 5 years ago
Thanks, Mana - I hope the worst is really not yet to come.
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago
Hi Randy - good to hear from you tonight!  I too am hoping for an end to the bad news coming out of the mtge industry.
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago
Hi JaneAnne - hopefully this twist will not be as bad as if being tossed around right now.
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago
Good point, Mary.  A good solid lender should be able to take care of your clients, you just need to keep on top of the ever-changing programs.
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago
Brian - I hope you are right - I have several 100% first-timers right now.  I'm encouraging them to doublecheck with their broker just in case the underwriting guidelines are being changed on them.  The source I heard speak is pretty well-placed, an ex-senior exec in the industry with major players.  He might be off-base in his talk today but I somehow doubt it, based on what I know of him.  Time will tell...the articles I linked to tell a sorry story.
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago
Matthew Blum just told me a story of a buyer who was at the closing table and had their Uhaul outside. The sellers were moved out. The lender had already wired the money. Everyone gets to the closing and the lender calls the title company and says pull back the wire, they decided to not do that loan program anymore! It is crazy but we will get through it. I remember doing wrap around mortgages before they were done  away with because interest rates were 21%!  We have to stay focused on positives so we don't perpetuate this craziness going on right now. Katerina
Posted by Nestor & Katerina Gasset RealtorsĀ® Wellington Florida Homes For Sale (International Properties and Investments LLC) almost 5 years ago

Jeff:

Fannie and Freddie just sent out e-mails expanding the 100% program.  Just make sure they're full doc and you'll be okay.   HUD is lobbying Congress to do away with the statutory 3% downpayment.

Posted by Jumbo Mortgage Capital in California/858-777-9751 almost 5 years ago

Jeff, I've been warning buyers since this started. Every week someone says stop sending homes, I can't ger financed, my spouse may be transferred, companies laying off, etc...

 I agree lenders lend!

Posted by Gary Smith (Agent Marketing Today) almost 5 years ago
Brian - what is HUD advocating as a replacement policy for the 3%?
Posted by Jeff R. Geoghan - Marketing Evangelist and VP (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals) almost 5 years ago

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